Journal of Emerging Defense Knowledge & Research Policy

Journal of Emerging Defense Knowledge & Research Policy

Watching Trends, Technologies and Emerging Eras in Cognitive Science in a 10- year Horizon

Document Type : Research Article

Authors
1 Faculty of Strategic Management, Supreme National Defense University
2 Logistic, Technology and Emerging Eras Research Center, Supreme National Defense University
3 Assistant Professor, Strategic Management Faculty, Supreme Higher National Defense University
10.22034/edrkp.2023.404224.1043
Abstract
Purpose: The entry of cognitive science (CS) in different aspects of society, has faced governments, with new and disruptive challenges. Therefore, unknown spaces of the short-term future innovations and weak signals of coming changes puts a vague perspective in front of policy makers. The purpose of this research is to discover new and emerging eras of the CS in a 10-year horizon.

Research method: This research is a qualitative-exploratory research that uses a mixed multi-method approach. Watching method as a meta-method, documentary and library method, and open interviews with experts, open source scanning technique, were used to identify trends, technologies, and emerging fields of CS. Also, the expert panel method with the presence of 6 experts was held to approve internal validity of findings.

Findings: future technological needs and knowledge requirements of cognitive capabilities affecting the future opportunities and threats of Iran is categorized in five groups; Prediction of cognitive behavior and related risk analysis, prevention and cognitive monitoring, diagnostic and therapeutic intervention, rehabilitation and rehabilitation with cognitive tools and human cognitive enhancement.

Conclusion: The future perspective of "cognitive war with soft and hard cognitive tools and approaches" can be interpreted with the metaphor of "cognitive battle scene". The technologies, products and knowledge based capabilities of cognitive sciences have passed the weak signals (WS) of technology phases and have reached to developed capabilities at the Strong Signals and alarming Level. Cognitive technologies and products have become a basket of technologies that will create wealth and power to the owners.
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  • Receive Date 26 June 2023
  • Revise Date 02 August 2023
  • Accept Date 03 August 2023